2018 Cereal Trends: Morning Maneuvers
Cereals and bars angle to provide hearty, wholesome meal and snack solutions
The ready-to-eat breakfast cereal category’s hopes of innovating a way out of its sales slump largely were dashed in 2017. New product launches were plentiful, but none are likely to register as blockbusters.
For the record, GlobalData projects breakfast cereal dollar sales growing at a 0.7% compound annual growth rate during the five years from 2016 to 2021. Interestingly, the pre-sweetened cereal category currently enjoys popularity as a snack. In fact, General Mills has shared data that an estimated 30% of all US cereal consumption (sugar concerns aside) now comes in the form of snacking—triple the level of a decade ago.
Nevertheless, it’s been a slow season for traditional cereal companies. In fact, Kellogg and Post Holdings have sought growth outside the category.
Last September, Post Holdings spent $1.5 billion to acquire the retail and foodservice product businesses of Bob Evans Farms, including perishable convenience foods like breakfast sausage. Last October, Kellogg purchased Chicago Bar Company, the maker of RXBAR, for $600 million. Kellogg Company CEO Steve Cahillane remarked, “With its strong millennial consumption and diversified channel presence including e-commerce, RXBAR is perfectly positioned to perform well against future food trends.”
Meanwhile, cereal makers’ new product activity centered on new flavors like chocolate and coffee, granola cereals that leverage snacking, kids’ cereals inspired by children’s snack preferences, and seasonal offerings.
Talk about a morning pick me-up. General Mills added Mocha Crunch Cereal as a limited edition launch with the sweetened mocha flavored corn cereal inspired by whipped cream topped mocha drinks. Trader Joe’s Caramel Flavored Coffee Granola blended whole grain oat clusters with ground coffee and caramel flavor. Attune Foods (owned by Post Holdings) added Sweet Home Farm Granola in Caramel Latte and Mocha Latte flavors, both with “real coffee.”
Chocolate and cinnamon were other trendy cereal flavors in 2017. General Mills was on-trend with its Cheerios Chocolate Peanut Butter, Cocoa Puffs Hot Cocoa, and Lucky Charms Cinnamon Vanilla cereals. General Mills credits the former with helping drive its cereal sales ahead by 7% during the fourth quarter of 2017.
Kellogg chimed in with Chocolate Frosted Flakes and Special K Nourish Crispy Granola with Quinoa in a Dark Chocolate Coconut flavor. Quaker Life Gingerbread Spice Multigrain cereal debuted from Quaker Oats, inspired by the pumpkin spice flavor trend.
RTE cereal brands experimented with novel flavor parings to add intrigue and stave off boredom. Kellogg’s Apple Strawberry Raisin Bran Crunch cereal followed this trend as did Kellogg’s Blueberry with Lemon Clusters Special K cereal.
One of 2017’s stranger flavor trends was cookie-inspired flavors. S’mores’ popularity in confectionery and snacks inspired Post Honey Made S’mores Cereal and Post Frosted S’Mores Bites Shredded Wheat. Going further down the cookie road was Keebler Cereal with Real Chocolate Chip Cookies and General Mills Girl Scouts Thin Mints cereal.
More sweetened cereal innovation is coming in 2018: Kellogg’s brightly-colored, limited edition Unicorn cereal will debut then in a “magic cupcake” flavor.
Interestingly enough, hot cereal may have had a more consequential year and 2017 could go down as the year that overnight oats transitioned from oddity to legitimacy.
Millennial moms helped put homemade overnight oats on the map with their creativity, but breakfast giants like PepsiCo’s Quaker Oats may keep it there. Quaker Oats Overnight Oats debuted mid-year in flavors like Blueberry Banana & Vanilla Bliss. To make the oat, flaxseed and quinoa product, consumers need only add milk and put the cup in the refrigerator overnight.
Several smaller companies also pursued the overnight oats opportunity like GameChanger Products and its new Maker Overnight Oats. This premium offering is sold in decorative, reusable glass jars to which one adds dairy or nut milk. GameChanger was founded by a pair of ex-Clorox executives including a former vice president of marketing.
Superfood ingredients provided a spark in 2017. Hemp powered Grandyoats Real Granolas Coconut Granola Super Hemp Blend. Tart cherry headlined Trader Joe’s Tart Cherry Chia & Pumpkin Seed Oatmeal. Purple corn paced Trader Joe’s Organic Purple Maize Flakes. Pea protein highlighted Trader Joe’s Peanut Butter Protein Granola, a launch that may connect with the 38% of Americans that say they try to eat as much protein as possible, per GlobalData’s 2016 Q3 consumer survey.
December saw Kellogg’s introduce Special K Nourish Berries & Peaches with Probiotics, which features a peach-flavored flake and a blend of blueberries, raspberries, peaches and yogurt-y pieces. With 12g of whole grains, it is also a good source of fiber.
“Our goal is to empower women to feel confident in their food choices,” said Christie Crouch, director of marketing for Special K. “We know digestive wellness is top of mind for many women, and it can be tough to sort through all the options out there. With new Special K Nourish Peaches & Berries with Probiotics, we’re delivering the good bacteria, along with iron and vitamins, to women who are looking to fuel their day.”
Novel cereal ingredients tend to be rare, but 2017 saw a pair of them. Peak Sherpa Himalayan-Style Tsampa Barley Cereal is based on tsampa, a type of sprouted and roasted barley that is a food staple of the Himalayan people and is said to deliver long-lasting energy.
New flavors, entries expand the protein bar market.
Native State Foods’ Purely Pinole Hot Power Cereal has a similar backstory, using a food called pinole “hailed for its power to fuel endurance and provide energy.” Pinole is not a single food, but is a “secret recipe created by the Aztecs” with wild purple corn and pure cacao beans which are roasted and then ground into a textured meal.
Raise the Bar
Innovation in snack bars topped that of ready-to-eat cereal in 2017, partly because snack bars can be ideal for the time-crunched breakfast meal. Breakfast is the most hurried meal of the day, with 43% of Americans spending less than 15 minutes eating breakfast on the average weekday, per a 2016 Q4 GlobalData consumer survey. That is nearly three times the percentage saying the same about dinner and a good reason why hand-held foods like snack bars are booming.
Quick breakfast solutions for 2017 included Kellogg’s Nutri Grain Soft Baked Breakfast Bars, an indulgent take on the breakfast bar concept in a Chocolate Raspberry flavor. Eat Your Coffee Coffee Bar in flavors like Mocha Latte showed a snack bar replacing the usual cup of coffee in the morning. Each 1.6oz bar is the caffeine equivalent of a cup of coffee.
Cold brew coffee hit snack bars for the first time with Pamela’s Ambition Bar Snack Bar in a Cold Brew Chocolate flavor. Coffee as an ingredient could help snack bars move in more of an energizing direction that could pay off. According to GlobalData, energy bar volume is expected to grow at a 4.1% CAGR for the period from 2016 to 2021, more than double the growth expected for cereal bars.
Chewy textured bars were trendy in 2017, illustrated by Annie’s Homegrown Organic Chewy Granola Bars, Kellogg’s Special K Chewy Snack Bars in flavors like Dark Chocolate Pomegranate, and General Mills’ new Nature Valley Sweet & Salty XL Bar Chewy Granola Bar. The latter is an oversized bar (1.87oz) and a departure from bite-size and mini snacks that have gained traction in recent years.
One odd new direction for snack bars in 2017 was bars with vegetable ingredients. Larabar Fruits Greens Bar is a “vegan-friendly” bar with one-quarter cup of kale or spinach per bar. SaladShots Snack Bar offers the “goodness of a salad” with the “convenience of a bar.” Flavors like Choco Balsamic are based on SaladShots salad dressing flavors and are formulated with greens and superfoods. That’s It Black Bean + Veggie Bar is a vegan bar with vegetable ingredients such as carrots and kale.
Protein bars became more indulgent and sophisticated in 2017. Muscle Milk Protein Bar in flavors like Birthday Cake offers a whipped soft layer to “delight your senses” and is “inspired by artisanal ice cream flavors and mix-ins.” PowerBar Clean Whey Protein Bar offers premiumized flavors inspired by cookies and desserts like White Fudge Raspberry. Combined with the new PowerBar Plant Protein Nourishing Snack Bar, PowerBar’s launches show the brand’s affinity toward specific protein types, a tactic linked to the clean label trend.
Meat-based snack bars were a novelty in 2016, but could move mainstream in 2018 thanks to a new PowerBar launch. A three flavor line of PowerBar Jerky & Nut Savory Snack Bars “made with 100% American beef” marries popular features from snack bars and beef jerky into a single offering. Introduced to the trade in 2017, the launch hits consumer markets in 2018.
Almond butter is trending as an ingredient less likely to trigger food allergies. Nature Valley Layered Granola Nut Bar debuted in an Almond Butter flavor, while almond butter is found in Kashi’s new Chewy Nut Butter Bars.
Functional snack bars with dietary supplement-like benefits were a trend. Beauty-enhancement bars like the NeoCell Collagen Cookie Bar, which replenishes the body’s collagen supply, minimizing fine lines and wrinkles, is one example. The Barology Live Younger Anti-Aging Food Bar which boosts skin health is another.
“New to the world” snack bar innovation produced some highlights. Vegan Rob’s probiotic Kombuchabar snack bar became the first snack bar to use kombucha (the trendy fermented tea beverage) as an ingredient. Happy Mama Organics Breastfeeding Support Lactation Oat Bar offers nutritional support for breastfeeding mothers in a bar format. The ReGrained Eat Bar Sustainable Supergrain Bar uses a waste product, “upcycled brewer’s malt,” from local craft breweries as an ingredient. The Fody Low FODMAP Food Co. Snack Bar takes aim at FODMAPs, a range of carbohydrates that can exacerbate digestion issues like irritable bowel syndrome.
The need to stay mentally sharp and desire to stave off chronic diseases like Alzheimer’s disease could create a lucrative new niche for memory-enhancing bars. According to GlobalData’s 2017 Q1 consumer survey, two-thirds of Americans say they are concerned about memory loss.
A pair of new bars is already pursuing this new niche. Zone Perfect Revitalize for Mental Focus Energy Bar uses green tea extract for an energy boost and choline to support brain health. The IQ Bar Brain Food Bar is fortified with medium chain triglycerides and other ingredients believed to improve cognitive performance.
Originally appeared in the March, 2018 issue of Prepared Foods as Morning Maneuvers.